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一号文件出台玉米真能涨?豆粕价格较年前跌了100元/吨!

来源: 赤峰和美嘉科技有限公司  点击:20 发布时间:2017-2-9

【玉米价格行情日报】

2月6日全国玉米现货价格继续稳定运行为主。中央一号文件正式出台,大连玉米期价出现明显反弹现象。


东北地区玉米价格基本稳定运行为主,黑龙江玉米出库价稳定在1210-1300元/吨;吉林玉米出库价稳定在1310-1380元/吨;辽宁、内蒙古玉米出库价稳定在1400-1500元/吨。华北黄淮地区部分深加工企业开始收粮,价格小幅波动;山东部分深加工企业玉米收购价节后下调10元/吨;山东、河南地区玉米收购价区间在1520-1600元/吨;河北、山西、陕西玉米收购价稳定在1520-1570元/吨。北方港口贸易陆续恢复收购,平舱价稳定在1480-1500元/吨;广东港贸易商挺价,但购销清淡,玉米成交价区间为1610-1630元/吨。南方销区部分饲料企业继续消耗前期库存为主,市场价格稳定运行为主;江苏内陆市场购销陆续启动,东北粮源持续到站,包粮主流站台价格1640-1680元/吨区间。


2017年中央一号文件新鲜出炉,而文件内容对国内玉米市场影响颇深,特别提到了玉米“去库存”方面,给我国玉米期货市场提供新一轮炒作题材,大连玉米期价出现明显反弹行情。而国内玉米现货市场依旧处于春节后购销恢复阶段,价格行情稳定运行为主。尽管目前中储粮入市收购、中央一号文件及饲料企业补贴,这三个影响因素继续支撑玉米价格行情,但年后终端需求清淡,市场供应宽松,行情宝认为玉米价格不具备大幅上涨可能,小幅波动行情将继续主导整个市场。


【豆粕价格行情日报】

2月6日全国大部分油厂开始陆续开机,豆粕报价较节前出现明显下调。


山东及江苏地区主流油厂豆粕报价区间3160-3260元/吨;浙江仍有部分油厂尚未开机,市场主流价在3200-3250元/吨;上海当地大型油厂豆粕报价3200元/吨;福建地区豆粕价格区间3300-3350元/吨;广东、广西地区豆粕价格3160-3240元/吨;天津、河北地区个别油厂豆粕报价区间3210-3300元/吨;吉林、辽宁当地大型油厂豆粕报价较年前下滑100元/吨;河南当地油厂豆粕价格3250-3310元/吨;安徽地区油厂豆粕报价差距较大,区间在3200-3300元/吨;云南部分地区贸易商豆粕报价3380-3400元/吨。


春节期间,美豆期价受到南美大豆预期丰产消息的打压,走势出现明显下滑趋势。而本轮美豆期价跌势延续至年后,导致今日国内复产油厂豆粕报价均较年前出现大幅下滑现象。与此同时,现阶段供需端均出现打压市场的现象。节后属于养殖终端饲料消费淡季,也就意味着豆粕需求偏低阶段。再加上年前我们强调的进口大豆陆续到港,油厂陆续开机,供应端略显宽松。行情宝认为短期内国内豆粕价格难有起色。不过,3-5月或出现大豆进口到港缺口,届时豆粕价格或有反弹行情出现。


The English version

【The price of corn prices daily 】

On February 6, spot prices continue to stable operation of the national corn to give priority to. The central file no. 1 formal introduction, dalian corn futures appear obvious rebound phenomenon.


Corn prices basically stable operation is given priority to, in northeast China heilongjiang corn outbound price stability in the 1210-1300 yuan/ton; Jilin corn outbound price stability in the 1310-1380 yuan/ton; Liaoning, Inner Mongolia corn outbound price stability in the 1400-1500 yuan/ton. Huanghuai region of north China some deep processing enterprises began to receive food, prices fluctuated; Shandong part of corn deep processing enterprises purchase price after cut 10 yuan/ton; Shandong, henan region corn price range in 1520-1600 yuan/ton; Hebei, shanxi, shaanxi corn price stability in the 1520-1570 yuan/ton. The northern port trade gradually restore acquisition, trimming price stability in the 1480-1500 yuan/ton; Guangdong port of trader's price, but the buying and selling light, corn price range is 1610-1630 yuan/ton. XiaoQu southern part of the early stage of the feed enterprises continue to consume the inventory is given priority to, the market price and stable operation is given priority to; Jiangsu inland market sales were launched, the northeast stocks continued to arrive station, mainstream platform package food price 1640-1680 yuan/ton range.


No. 1 in 2017, the central fresh, and file content influence on domestic corn market deeply, singled out corn "to stock", to provide a new round of speculation themes, corn futures market in China dalian corn futures appear obvious rally. And domestic corn spot market is still in the buying and selling recovery phase after the Spring Festival, the price quotation and stable operation. Although the grain storage in the market to buy, the central file no. 1 and subsidies in the enterprises, the three factors continue to support the price of corn, but light years end demand, market supply, market treasure may think corn prices have surged, small fluctuations in prices will continue to dominate the market.


"Soybean meal price quotation daily"

On February 6, the most oil started to boot, soybean meal price is first apparent.


Shandong and jiangsu region oil major soybean meal price range 3160-3260 yuan/ton; Zhejiang - has yet to start up, in some mainstream prices in 3200-3250 yuan/ton; Shanghai local large oil soybean meal price 3200 yuan/ton; Fujian region soybean meal price range 3300-3350 yuan/ton; Guangdong, guangxi region soybean meal price 3160-3240 yuan/ton; Tianjin and hebei region individual oil soybean meal price range 3210-3300 yuan/ton; Jilin, liaoning local large oil soybean meal price is years ago fell 100 yuan/ton; Henan local oil soybean meal price 3250-3310 yuan/ton; Anhui region is researched soybean meal price difference is bigger, range in 3200-3300 yuan/ton; Parts of yunnan traders soybean meal price 3380-3400 yuan/ton.


During the Spring Festival, the bean futures down by South American soybean expected fertility news, has a significant downward trend. And the beautiful bean futures continue falling until years later, led to today's domestic oil production soybean meal price than years ago a sharp decline phenomenon. At the same time, the current supply and demand side are appear on market phenomenon. Post-holiday belongs to feed consumption off-season breeding terminal, also means that soybean meal demand low stage. Plus years ago we emphasis on imports of soybeans in succession to the port, is researched on in succession, the supply side slightly loose. Market treasure to think in the short term domestic soybean meal price rut. However, 3-5 months or soybean imports into the port hole, when the price of soybean meal or have a rally.






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